What did Lukashenko say?
Cracks in the Eurasian union?
Self interest of the leaders of Kazakhstan & Belarus will kill
the Eurasian Union. :)
[email protected] wrote:
>
> I doubt if he will invade. We'll know the new deadlines when we are
> told the timeline for the Kerry-Lavrov meeting they both agreed to.
> The oil is obviously a factor, as is the Syrian issue. But I still
> think that Putin's FSB has told him some bad news about what the
> Ukrainian army and armed populace can do. He has weighed this and
> decided that the Tymoshenko route is safer. (Or some other tactic).
> Lukashenko had some interesting stuff to say on Shuster tonight, both
> about Putin and Yanukovich.
>
> Quoting [email protected]:
> >
> > A good chunk of Putin's battle hardened troops are in Crimea,
> > the troops on the eastern border are conscripts. The tank division
> > north of Chernihiv are a professional unit, though not battle
> > hardened -- there has been little chance for experiencing a
> > tank battle. The Caucuses have been anti-guerilla warfare.
> > Yeltsin lost close to 1000 armoured vehicles in the first war.
> >
> > The professional tank division would be used to drive as
> > fast as it can into Kyiv to kill the government.
> >
> > What could also happen is that things start occuring in
> > Chechnya/Igushetia/Dagestan because those battle-hardened troops
> > are now in Crimea. Putin is vulnerable.
> >
> > The proportion of professional troops as a percentage
> > is much smaller than Ukraine -- problem is that Russia
> > has a much greater force.
> >
> > I think Putin is more concerned about the price of oil and
> > how that may destroy his economy.
> >
> > The Putin call today to Obama may have been a last minute check
> > to see if the Yanks would intervene militarily or not. Obama the
> > great poker player he is not, would have laid all his cards on
> > the table.
> >
> > So my guess is Putin will invade, unless Obama is a better poker
> > player than I thought. I am not jholding my breath.
> >
> > [email protected] wrote:
> >>
> >> And is now asking Obama to help him out of his mess... hoping to still
> >> get something.
> >>
> >> Remember that a few weeks ago someone (I forget the details
> >> unfortunately) pointed out that Russia only has some 25,000 totally
> >> reliable troops to assault Ukraine with. For that to work everything
> >> had to go like clockwork: Ukraine had to be disorganized and in chaos,
> >> the "titushky" provocateurs had to deliver, and the world remain
> >> hapless and silent... Nothing has worked. The "threat" at Ukraine's
> >> border is hollow. He may have the numbers (up to 100,000) but most of
> >> these will not "fight the good fight". If he tries anything he'll wind
> >> up with another Konotop (1659).
> >>
> >> The danger now is not to draw defeat from the jaws of victory.
> >>
> >> I feel like the kid who said that famous sentence about the Emperor.
> >> I hope I'm not doing what Merkel opined Putin was....
> >>
> >
>
InfoUkes Inc. Gerald William Kokodyniak
Suite 185, 3044 Bloor Street West Webmaster InfoUkes Inc.
Etobicoke, Ontario [email protected]
Canada M8X 2Y8 http://www.infoukes.com/
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