I still like the Swiss Model for reserves were each reservist
keeps his weapon at home. A Russian invasion could be lightning
fast and an armed reserve would give a better defence than
a more restricted reserve.
Ukraine has way too many 5th columnists that could hamper
response in an invasion. They need to pull a Trudeau Sr and
decimate the top 5 layers of the bureaucracy. That way
you kill off the inbreeding of pro-Moscow pro-Soviets
bureaucrats.
I think this guy is on the ball though I would never trust
him.
Cutting off Ukraine from the sea would cut off Ukraine from
LNG tankers, international trade with agricultural products
and cut off Ukraine from offshore gas fields. that is very
plausible and sounds exactly like something Putin would do.
Also connecting Transdniester strengthens its position there
were it is known as a military arms sale haven.
Plus the 7 oblasts in question, they hold 95% of Ukraine's and
the (Soviet Era) defense industries. Antonov in Kharkiv,
the Tank factories in Kharkiv, the naval shipyards of Mykolayiv,
Odesa as a major port, Zaporizya for aero engines, Dnipropetrovsk
for rockets/missles and Donetsk & Maiopol for steel, aluminum
and titanium foundries.
Not stopping with Eastern Ukraine is very plausible -- A re-armed
russia would need many of those industries. Russians make horrible
engineers while Ukrainians made their weapon systems during the
Soviet era. Not a coincidence so many defense industries were
located in Ukraine.
is important for that BS line of home of Russian civilization.
They have a historical inferiority complex. Sort of Kyiv
envy ;)
With Tymoshenko's trip to Moscow sealed any fate she had. She is no
longer to be trusted.
Putin does have a deep hatred of the Maidan because he is scared
if such an entity ever appeared on Red Square -- he would pull
a Tianamen Square scenario with mass deaths and arrests.
federalization was always a methodology to wresttle control
from the central government -- interesting it is never an
issue when Moscow's man is in office in Kyiv..
The cyber attack on NATO by a so-called Ukrainian organization
was BS -- it was just designed to make NATO weary about
Ukraine -- it was obviously Russian hackers on the Kremlin payroll.
The Russians fear NATO because individually all the members
are weak, but together they are a formidble force that could
hurt the Russians badly.
Last but not least, Putin if he thinks he can get away with it
will go for the max and over-reach -- Western government weakness
opens the door for him to sprint thru.
Fran Ponomarenko wrote:
>
> He's on hromadske right now.
> He says there is a document which has circulated by those close to Putin,
> trebovanja Putina.
> With regard to Ukraine.
> 1) federalization, but to the point of possible autonomy,goal being these
> regions could secede this way break apart Ukraine piece by piece
> 2) no connection to NATO
> 3) Russian control of the shore line areas,
> 4) putting in place in kyiv a govt he can deal with, marionette govt
> 5)when mustafa asked what people Putin could work with, Timoshenko of course
> 6) disarming the population
> 7) crushing maidan and making it never possible again
> 8) basically a puppet regime
>
> He said the present govt has seen this document, and is fulfilling some of
> its demands, like disarming the population. Illarionov seems to be a
> proponent of the right to carry weapons. He lives in the USA now.
>
> I know some say Illarionov is an agent, I don't know. I am not sure what
> his message would do for Putin.
>
InfoUkes Inc. Gerald William Kokodyniak
Suite 185, 3044 Bloor Street West Webmaster InfoUkes Inc.
Etobicoke, Ontario [email protected]
Canada M8X 2Y8 http://www.infoukes.com/
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