Dear Infoukes:
CRIMEA: Ukraine, Russian Federation or Autonomous Republic?
Despite Vladimir Putin's false claims that the Russian language is
threatened in Crimea, Myron Petriw has demonstrated that it is
Ukrainian-language speakers that are discriminated against in Crimea:
http://yaroslawsrevenge.authorsxpress.com/2013/02/09/back-to-the-ussr-%E2%80
%93-the-tools-of-genocide-remain-unchanged/
Law in a Linguistic Battlefield: Ukrainian vs. Russian
<http://www.willzuzak.ca/tp/ukrainophobia/bowring20120902LanguageLaw.html>
Language and Law, 02Sep2012; Bill Bowring
Obviously, the Kremlin is continuing its age-old policy of genocide against
the Ukrainian language and the Ukrainian nation.
There appear to be three possible outcomes to Putin's occupation of Crimea.
(1) Crimea, Ukraine: The pre-invasion status quo would be generally
maintained with the Ukrainian Navy co-existing with the Russian Black Sea
Fleet on the peninsula.
(2) Crimea, Russian Federation: The Ukrainian military basis would have to
be relocated onto Ukrainian territory. New port facilities for the Ukrainian
Navy would have to be built in the Odesa area. In the interim, American and
Turkish NATO warships would be asked to patrol and control the remaining
Ukrainian coastline. Should Putin invade and try to annex parts of Eastern
Ukraine (Luhansk, Donetsk), Ukraine would have little choice but to join
NATO as soon as possible. At any rate, once incorporated into the Russian
Federation, Crimea would become a full-fledged enemy such that American,
NATO and Ukrainian missiles would be trained on Sevastopol and Simferopil
(Simferopol?).
(3) Crimean Autonomous Republic: The scheduled 16Mar2014 referendum is, of
course, a farce. Nevertheless, if the citizens (inhabitants?) of Crimea
should choose this option in an internationally-supervised referendum in
2015 or 2016, things become more flexible. They could host both the Russian
and Ukrainian fleets. Friendly relations could be established with both the
Russian Federation and Ukraine. There would be less urgency for Ukraine to
join NATO.
Tourism and commercial enterprises would not suffer. It is not clear if the
oil and gas mineral rights along the Crimean coastline would accrue Crimea.
Of course, tolerance to all languages would have to be established. Crimea
could become a modern European nation rather quickly.
I do not profess to have any military expertise, but does my analysis sound
reasonable?
Regards
Will Zuzak; 2014.03.09
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