At which point it would be wise to revise Ukraine's non-nuclear status then
begin extracting and drilling for oil and gas along the Black Sea Coast. As
a precaution it would be wise to booby trap the Druzhba and Odesa-Brody
pipelines in the event of an overt invasion.
PI
On Sat, Mar 1, 2014 at 8:34 PM, Ivan Kravchenko <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> 1. Ironically, the apparent weakness of the Ukrainian state in the South
> appears to be as strength. Putin has been trying to implement identical
> scenario to the one already used against Georgia. It looks like this
> approach has back-fired due to the fact that the Russian war machine has
> not encountered immediate military response. The military is lacking a
> clear target and is idling which is never good for any war
> machine. Besides
> Putin starts loosing his stance internationally, diplomatically and, very
> soon, economically.
> In this regard activities of so called "right sector" are dangerous and
> disturbing. By attacking the Russians in Krym they can easily escalate the
> conflict into a full scale war at the time when Ukraine is not ready for
> that, yet. The question asked during riots in Kyiv about who people from
> "right sector" are still is not answered. They maybe heroes of street
> fighting, all-right, but, it does not make them less dangerous
> country-wise.
>
> 2. The Russian puppets in Krym whose leader is Mr.Aksenov have never been
> popular in Krym. During the last elections the Aksenov's pro-Russian
> party attracted only whooping 4% of the votes of Krym residents.
> Therefore, cutting water and electricity from mainland to Krym is a very
> bad idea: 4% will bloat to 54% as the result. I am not saying this tool is
> not on the table, but, not now. Hopefully, it will not be needed at
> all. At least one will have to create a very strong defense of Kherson: as
> soon as the pumps stop supplying water to Krym the military attack will be
> inevitable.
>
> 3. I completely agree with the three former Ukrainian Presidents that it
> is time do denounce the treaty on the naval base lease to station the
> Russian Black Sea Fleet. As soon as Putin is forced to back off he will
> become vulnerable on this issue and will have to negotiate removal of the
> Russian Black Sea Fleet from Krym.
>
>
>
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