I believe that if Putin invades Ukraine proper it will cost a lot of lives,
but ultimately it will be a complete disaster for Putin and for Russia. I
do not believe you can make 45 million people behave like good obedient
Little Russians, especially after such a monumental reawakening as we had
during Euromaidan - no matter how hard you try. There will be massive
resistance and it will have near 100% support of the local population.
Even a ruthless despot like Stalin had a hard time putting a lid on
something like that, and Putin ain't no Stalin. He may think he is, but he
is not. He does not quite have the level of terror and fear to keep
everyone around him in check during trying and difficult times.
The other scenario that has Russian troups just lingering around the
boarder, on-going intimidation along with fifth column work to disrupt the
upcoming elections is a much safer strategy for Putin to pursue. But then
again, maybe he really has lost his head, and completely pumped up and
drunk on hyper-nationalism, that he will go for the all or nothing option.
Let's hope not.
On Fri, Mar 28, 2014 at 2:22 PM, <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
> Not necessarily -- Ukraine has some very nice armour. Of
> corse they lost some nice tanks in Crimea but they still
> have some serious armour.
>
> I suspect the army in the mainland is much more patriotic
> than the naval units in Crimea (sailors tend to come more
> often than not from coastal areas where the loyalty is
> not as intence)
>
> They may end up losing but the Russians will get a bloody
> nose -- plus many of the Russian soldiers on the Eastern
> front are conscripts thus not as qualified and fervent
> in fighting.
>
> I suspect if fighting breaks out, caches of arms will
> miraculously be found on various Ukrainian airfields
> (courtesy of NATO eastern members) in unmarked crates.
>
> The Poles & Balts will probably donate alot because they
> don't want the Russians on their border again. Stranger
> things have happened.
>
>
> Michael Kulyk wrote:
> >
> > then ukraine is truly doomed to be part of russia
> >
> > On Mar 28, 2014, at 11:11 AM, [email protected] wrote:
> > >
> > > Huff and Puff and Finger wag.
> > >
> > > and then Obama will really unfriend Putin on Facebook ;)
> > >
> > > Michael Kulyk wrote:
> > >>
> > >> with soldiers ?
> > >>
> > >> what will the west and obama do ?
> > >>
> > >
> >
>
>
> --
> InfoUkes Inc. Gerald William Kokodyniak
> Suite 185, 3044 Bloor Street West Webmaster InfoUkes Inc.
> Etobicoke, Ontario [email protected]
> Canada M8X 2Y8 http://www.infoukes.com/
>
>
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